Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005069 0.005350 0.005641 0.005962 0.006310 0.006674 0.007086
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004568 0.004985 0.005434 0.005957 0.006550 0.007206 0.007991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004227 0.004714 0.005256 0.005907 0.006673 0.007553 0.008649
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003929 0.004456 0.005055 0.005793 0.006686 0.007743 0.009105
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003697 0.004251 0.004893 0.005701 0.006703 0.007921 0.009537
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003553 0.004137 0.004827 0.005712 0.006835 0.008234 0.010147
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003317 0.003898 0.004594 0.005501 0.006670 0.008156 0.010232
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003217 0.003820 0.004552 0.005522 0.006797 0.008453 0.010829
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003188 0.003826 0.004614 0.005675 0.007100 0.008993 0.011789
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003063 0.003706 0.004508 0.005602 0.007094 0.009112 0.012158
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002971 0.003623 0.004444 0.005580 0.007153 0.009321 0.012664
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002874 0.003528 0.004361 0.005528 0.007165 0.009459 0.013071
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002835 0.003511 0.004382 0.005619 0.007385 0.009913 0.013999
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002762 0.003444 0.004334 0.005612 0.007466 0.010167 0.014635
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002679 0.003362 0.004260 0.005566 0.007485 0.010327 0.015127
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002580 0.003255 0.004149 0.005461 0.007410 0.010336 0.015369
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002495 0.003163 0.004056 0.005377 0.007361 0.010383 0.015672
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002446 0.003121 0.004028 0.005387 0.007455 0.010655 0.016381
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002332 0.002984 0.003866 0.005191 0.007224 0.010396 0.016136
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002294 0.002952 0.003849 0.005211 0.007327 0.010681 0.016885
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002976 0.003912 0.005352 0.007626 0.011306 0.018307
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002234 0.002907 0.003839 0.005285 0.007588 0.011362 0.018661
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002189 0.002861 0.003799 0.005265 0.007626 0.011547 0.019278